{"id":1105,"date":"2026-06-07T12:35:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-07T12:35:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=1105"},"modified":"2026-06-07T12:35:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-07T12:35:18","slug":"morgan-stanley-raises-cien-stock-target-after-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=1105","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley raises CIEN stock target after earnings"},"content":{"rendered":"<article><!-- --><!-- --><!-- WPS-5038 -- removed the script from WPS and added the placeholder for trinity player --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- CONTENT --><!--[--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Ciena (CIEN) just delivered the kind of quarter most companies dream about. Revenue jumped 40%, profit nearly quadrupled, and management raised its full-year outlook.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=1103\">More sanctions could be imposed on Israeli settlers in \u2018coming days\u2019, France says<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Wall Street liked what it saw. Analyst after analyst lifted price targets on the stock, some by hundreds of dollars.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>And then <strong>shares fell anyway.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Ciena (CIEN) dropped sharply right after the report, a strange way for the market to greet a record quarter and a stack of bullish new targets.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley&#8217;s update sits right at the center of that split. The bank raised its target sharply, yet left its rating untouched and landed on a number that looks odd next to where the stock actually trades.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That mix tells you how cautiously parts of Wall Street are reading this AI winner, even after results this strong.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Morgan Stanley raises its Ciena price target but keeps a cautious rating<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley analyst Meta Marshall lifted her price target on Ciena to $490 from $405, a jump of about 21%, while keeping an equal-weight rating, GuruFocus reports.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Equal-weight, in Morgan Stanley&#8217;s system, means the stock should roughly track the rest of the firm&#8217;s coverage rather than beat it.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>More AI Infrastructure Stocks:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>HSBC nearly doubles Cisco stock price target from $77 to $137<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Bank of America resets Nvidia stock price target for 2026<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Wells Fargo revamps CoreWeave stock price target for 2026<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Here is <strong>the detail that stands out. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The new $490 target still sits below where Ciena (CIEN) traded going into the report, near $620.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Marshall&#8217;s logic is that a stock that has more than doubled since last quarter already carries much of the good news in its price.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>NurPhoto \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>What Ciena does and why its quarter triggered a target stampede<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Ciena builds the optical networking gear that carries data over long distances and, increasingly, between and inside data centers. <\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>As AI pushes enormous volumes of data between chips and facilities, <strong>demand for that equipment has surged.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For the fiscal second quarter ended May 2, revenue hit $1.57 billion, up 40% from a year earlier, and adjusted earnings reached $1.64 per share, nearly four times the year-ago level, according to Ciena&#8217;s earnings release.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Direct cloud revenue grew 70% and accounted for 46% of sales, while the backlog climbed past $7.7 billion, Ciena&#8217;s investor presentation confirms.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Management then guided full-year revenue to about $6.3 billion, a 32% increase, up from its prior 28% target. <\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=1101\">South Korean president orders probe into local election ballot shortages<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Numbers like that explain why analysts scrambled to update their targets.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Why Ciena&#8217;s stock fell about 17% even after a record quarter<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The selloff came down to <strong>one word: supply<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>CFO Marc Graff told analysts the company sees &#8220;an imbalance of supply not keeping pace with demand,&#8221; with constraints on certain modems, Stocktwits reported.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: Cathie Wood&#8217;s favorite tech stock still down 73% from all-time highs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>In plain terms, Ciena has more orders than it can fill right now, so that demand cannot all convert to revenue on schedule.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley made the same point, noting that supply, not demand, is what caps the near-term story. <\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Implied fourth-quarter growth slows to about 24%, and after a run that more than doubled the stock, some investors took profits.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>How Morgan Stanley&#8217;s $490 Ciena target compares with the rest of Wall Street<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>After the report, targets ranged widely. Rosenblatt went to $720 and Argus to $650, while Barclays moved to $607 with an overweight rating, StockAnalysis data show.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Against that backdrop, Morgan Stanley&#8217;s $490 and Northland&#8217;s $450 sit near the bottom of the post-earnings pack, with the average analyst target around $460, StockAnalysis forecasts indicate.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The split reflects a genuine debate over whether Ciena&#8217;s roughly 37x forward earnings multiple, a premium to its own history, holds up once the supply crunch eases.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h3>Three things Ciena stock needs to deliver next<\/h3>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Supply catches up:<\/strong> Component and modem capacity have to expand so the $7.7 billion backlog converts to revenue.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AI orders keep ramping:<\/strong> Direct cloud and data center growth must stay strong, the trend Morgan Stanley still views as intact.<\/li>\n<li><strong>It defends its lead in 800ZR:<\/strong> Rivals entering that high-speed transport market could pressure pricing, a risk Morgan Stanley flagged directly.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>What the Ciena selloff means for investors now<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Ciena&#8217;s business is firing on demand, margins, and backlog, and the stock&#8217;s near-term problem is timing.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That wide target range, from $450 up to $720, tells you bulls and skeptics agree the company is winning while disagreeing sharply on what to pay for it. <\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Other AI infrastructure names have shown the same push and pull, from Cisco&#8217;s optics surge to Intel&#8217;s server CPU rebound.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For investors, the swing factor is supply. <\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Clear the bottleneck while AI orders hold, and the high targets get easier to defend. Let supply stay tight, or competition arrive early in 800ZR, and Morgan Stanley&#8217;s caution starts to look smart.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Here&#8217;s one more thing to track<\/strong>: Two customers made up 34% of revenue last quarter, a concentration that adds risk if either pulls back, Ciena&#8217;s filing shows.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: Amazon, Microsoft employees demand urgent answers from big tech<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=1099\">Explainer-How can retail investors buy shares in SpaceX\u2019s IPO?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--]--><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ciena (CIEN) just delivered the kind of quarter most companies dream about.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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