{"id":4474,"date":"2026-08-09T22:05:47","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T22:05:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=4474"},"modified":"2026-08-09T22:05:47","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T22:05:47","slug":"argus-upgrades-spacex-and-calls-its-ai-spending-a-strength","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=4474","title":{"rendered":"Argus upgrades SpaceX and calls its AI spending a strength"},"content":{"rendered":"<article><!-- --><!-- --><!-- WPS-5038 -- removed the script from WPS and added the placeholder for trinity player --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- CONTENT --><!--[--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Two days before Argus Research spoke, investors were heavily selling <strong>SpaceX<\/strong> (SPCX) stock.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=4473\">Alleged Irish crime boss Kinahan charged with directing criminal organisation<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The company had just posted its <strong>first earnings report as a public firm<\/strong>, and the market focused on one number: how much SpaceX is spending on artificial intelligence. <\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The stock fell. Then Argus looked at the same report and reached the opposite conclusion.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>On <strong>August 7<\/strong>, the firm <strong>upgraded SpaceX to Buy<\/strong> from hold. The market had been treating AI spending as a problem. Argus decided it was the reason to own the stock.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Shares responded fast. SPCX <strong>rose 15.8%<\/strong> in a single session, <strong>closing at $133.11<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For investors, the difference in views raises a practical question. When a stock drops on the same news that makes one firm bullish, who is reading it correctly, and what should you do about it?<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>What the Argus upgrade actually says about SpaceX stock<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Argus analyst Steven Silver moved SpaceX to <strong>Buy<\/strong> and set a <strong>$160 price target<\/strong>, according to CNBC.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That target sits well above where the stock trades now. From the<strong> $133.11 close on August 7<\/strong>, $160 implies room to rise further.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Silver&#8217;s reasoning is direct. He said he is encouraged by the <strong>fast payback<\/strong> on SpaceX&#8217;s AI spending, because the company is adding computing capacity quickly.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>More SpaceX Stock:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>JPMorgan resets SpaceX price target after earnings<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Jim Cramer sees the writing on the wall for SpaceX investors<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>SpaceX wins $1.6 billion Space Force launch contract<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The $160 target values SpaceX at <strong>about 20 times<\/strong> its estimated 2027 revenue, TipRanks reported. Argus expects that revenue to reach <strong>$110 billion<\/strong> in 2027.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That is a high multiple. It only holds if SpaceX keeps growing at the pace it just showed.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Why SpaceX&#8217;s AI spending scared the market first<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>SpaceX spent <strong>$18.4 billion<\/strong> on capital projects in the second quarter. About <strong>$15.83 billion<\/strong> of that went to <strong>AI infrastructure<\/strong>, far above what analysts had modeled, CNBC reported.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Wall Street had estimated <strong>roughly $13 billion<\/strong>. The real figure was much larger, and management signaled similar spending ahead.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>SpaceX is pouring cash into data centers and computing power now, and the payoff comes later.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>When a company spends that far ahead of its earnings, investors worry the returns may never catch up. That fear drove the sell-off.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The AI segment still lost money in the quarter. Its operating loss was <strong>about $1.3 billion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>NurPhoto \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>How Argus reads the same numbers differently<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Argus did not get new data. It weighed the numbers already released and judged the spending as an investment that is working.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The key figure is a comment from SpaceX finance chief Bret Johnsen. He said the company is getting <strong>less than a one-year payback<\/strong> on some of its AI computing spending, according to Benzinga.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>A one-year payback means the money spent on a data center is earned back within about 12 months. That is fast for infrastructure this large.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=4471\">Oconee County under a severe thunderstorm warning early Sunday evening<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The demand behind it is real. SpaceX signed <strong>$14.1 billion in new cloud contracts<\/strong> during the quarter, then <strong>added $6.7 billion more<\/strong> early in the third quarter.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Its <strong>AI revenue rose 247%<\/strong> from a year earlier, to <strong>about $2.56 billion<\/strong>. Customers already include Google and Anthropic.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>The revenue growth that supports the bull case<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Behind the AI debate is a business growing quickly.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>SpaceX reported second-quarter revenue of <strong>$7.81 billion<\/strong>, <strong>up 92%<\/strong> from a year earlier. That beat the <strong>$6.93 billion<\/strong> analysts expected. Its net loss narrowed to <strong>$541 million<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Starlink<\/strong>, the satellite internet service, remains the engine. It posted a <strong>$1.66 billion<\/strong><strong>operating profit<\/strong> in the quarter and now serves <strong>12 million subscribers<\/strong> across <strong>more than 160 markets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: SpaceX stock defies latest Wall Street forecasts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The company projects an annualized revenue rate <strong>approaching $100 billion<\/strong> by the end of 2026.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Elon Musk moved his <strong>$1 trillion annual revenue goal<\/strong> forward to <strong>2030 from 2031<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Those are targets, not results. But the quarter gave the bulls, including Argus, a concrete reason to believe the growth is arriving.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>SpaceX stock since its IPO<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>SpaceX went public on June 12 at $135 a share. It climbed above $225 within its first week, then fell for five straight weeks.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Since the public offering SPCX is <strong>down about 17%<\/strong>. The stock sits well below its <strong>June high of $225.64<\/strong>, which is also its 52-week high.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The broader market went the other way. The S&amp;P 500 is <strong>up about 13%<\/strong> for the year, as of early August.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>So a buyer of SPCX at the IPO is still losing money on that trade, while a buyer of an index fund has made a gain.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That gap is exactly what Argus is betting will close.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>What still has to happen for the $160 target to work<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>An upgrade is a forecast, not a guarantee. Several things must go right for SpaceX to reach $160.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h3>Four things the bull case needs<\/h3>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>AI revenue keeps scaling<\/strong>. The $2.56 billion needs to keep climbing to justify the spending.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The AI segment turns profitable<\/strong>. It reached positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), but still loses money on an operating basis.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Selling pressure fades<\/strong>. On August 6, a lockup ended and freed 911.5 million insider shares, more than doubling the tradable float.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spending stays disciplined<\/strong>. Full-year capital spending is tracking toward roughly $65 billion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Other firms remain more cautious. Piper Sandler holds a <strong>neutral rating<\/strong> with a <strong>$140 target<\/strong>, citing valuation and the end of the share lockup.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>What investors should take from the Argus call<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Argus&#8217;s upgrade is not a guarantee that SpaceX stock will climb back up soon.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>It tells you that at least one experienced firm sees SpaceX&#8217;s AI spending as a good move, and it puts a target of $160 on that view.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>However, the stock is volatile, and more shares will keep unlocking through December. That means further price swings are likely, regardless of what the long-term outcome may be.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>A practical approach lies in these two questions:<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>First, do you believe SpaceX can turn its spending into profit over several years? Second, is today&#8217;s price a reasonable entry point given the possibility of more near-term selling?<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Argus answered yes to the first. The second is a decision only you can make.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: Peter Schiff says SpaceX is a warning for hyped stocks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p><i>The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/usmovingexpertss.com\/?p=4468\">Basketball-Nelson, Hall of Fame coach and five-time NBA champion as a player, dies at 86<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--]--><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two days before Argus Research spoke, investors were heavily selling SpaceX (SPCX) stock.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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